Recent Regulations May Not Effectively Prevent Another Financial Crisis

Finance

  • Author Richard Roid
  • Published January 1, 2011
  • Word count 534

Accountants have noticed with interest the latest worldwide wave of regulatory reform within UK, EU and US. Numerous fiscal experts in these nations sincerely feel that the extra burden of regulations is going to do nothing except raise the cost burden across the board, probably leading to yet another crucial and horrendous financial predicament, in accordance with industry giant Ernst and Young (E & Y).

The Ernst and Young Survey

E & Y did an inclusive survey of 500 superior ranking executives working in the financial services field in both Europe and the United States. The survey's results, released in November 2010, are disturbing: Just close to 35% of those reviewed expressed the belief that the industry's overall plan concerning regulation is going to be enough to stave off a financial calamity, either in their very own nations or worldwide. Localised response around the UK showed that just 25% of the financial authorities who replied to the survey contend that their country is moving on the right course concerning reforms in the business. More than 50% of those responding said that they anticipate profits to be decreased in the long term directly owing to more regulation. In what appears like a wholly defensive strategy close to 2/3 of these financial experts said that they truly are spending exceedingly more on conformity, including close to an added 60% for risk management. This disturbing inclination appears to point toward an awaiting catastrophe, for which a lot of people could be ill-prepared.

What Exactly the Survey Means

With corporations investing so significantly in compliance as well as risk management, 60% of respondents suggested that increased regulation will have the end result of pushing them to streamline and recreate their business models in a markedly fundamental way. The ultimate impact of this restructuring remains complicated to assess. One executive at Ernst and Young said that essentially there are indicative signs of investment banks turning their focus in the direction of a lower amount of capital intensive activities. However, the retail banks and the insurance providers are leaning toward quickly expanding promising markets. This shift doesn't bode well for conventional markets.

Even More Survey Results

Still another alarming trend unveiled through the survey is the probability of a considerable flight of talent as a response to proposal to put a ceiling on bonuses which are a part of many reform programs. In the UK, an amazing 60% of experts suggested they would move to a different location. There's also a bit of angst about how evenly or unevenly the regulations will be applied - a great deal of the respondents (nearly 80%) state that they would be pleased to see regulations standardised universally. Unless this is done, they say, particular markets will gain unfair edges over other markets. The E & Y summed it up this way: For the industry, these are totally unexplored waters; what the long-term collective impact of regulation toward the fiscal health of the banking system against a background of macroeconomic uncertainty will be is unknown.

The phrase "macroeconomic uncertainty" is very telling. It signifies that lots of specialists are worried in relation to the overarching effect of regulation on global markets, which, as a result, will probably send not only key managers, but investors hurrying for protection.

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