Bet on further Dollar weakness
Finance → Stocks, Bond & Forex
- Author Mike Wright
- Published December 8, 2007
- Word count 547
The economic roller coaster continues, but unfortunately sick bags will not
be provided says BetOnMarkets.com's Michael Wright.
Wall Street resumed its slide last week, as the uneasiness about the wilting
mortgage market and concerns about the broader economy, triggered selling
ahead of the unofficial start to the holiday shopping season. The Standard &
Poor's 500 index and the Dow Jones industrial average were both hurt by
traders unwinding positions going into the Thanksgiving holiday weekend.
The decline in the markets has put the S&P 500, FTSE 100 and French CAC
indices in negative territory for the year. Many investments such as such as
ISAs or tracker funds simply track the benchmark markets, which means that
at the time of writing, a lot of passive investors are looking at negative
returns for 2007.
The stock market has been thrashing about recently as investors attempt to
gauge how companies will fare amid a further slowdown in the U.S. housing
market, a deterioration of credit, and record oil prices. Up to last
Wednesday's slide, stocks had fallen in eight of the 11 last sessions.
In economic news, the US Conference Board suggested an economic slowdown
could accelerate in the coming months, amid rising costs and further
weakness in the housing market. Also, the Reuters/University of Michigan
Consumer Sentiment Survey showed its lowest reading in two years - an
unwelcome development for retailers entering what is for many, the most
important period of the year.
Investors turned to government bonds amid the uncertainty. The yield on the
10-year US Treasury note, which moves inversely to its price, fell to 4.01 %
from 4.09 % late Tuesday. This flight to quality is occurring as LIBOR rates
tick up again, and many debt auctions are pulled.
All of this didn't do much to help the US dollar, which over the last few
weeks has been weaker and weaker against the major currencies. At the time
of writing the EURO was worth 1.4860 USD and the GBP was trading at 2.0655
per US dollar.
Since 2003 central banks have gone on record to announce that they are
diversifying away from US denominated holdings, and buying euros and gold.
There has also been anecdotal evidence of the Dollars' decline, with
supermodel Giselle Bundchen demanding payment in Euros, and recent rap
videos displaying wads of Euros instead of Dollars.
The decline has accelerated in recent months as traders price in a weaker US
economy and further currency eroding rate cuts. With signs that the US
economy is no longer creaking, but cracking, a weak dollar may be here to
stay for the foreseeable future. In short, this may not be a temporary
weakness.
The average trader can profit from the decline of the US dollar, by buying a
Betonmarkets.com 'no touch' option. This compensates the trader if the
underlying market doesn't touch the predetermined level.
A No touch option on the Euro/USD exchange rate with a 20-day duration, and
550 points (5.5 cents) away from spot, pays 8%. This mean that the Dollar
could weaken further, strengthen slightly, or stay where it is and the
trader would still win.
- THE END -
Contact Details:
Name: Mike Wright
Tel: 448003762737
Email: editor@my.regentmarkets.com
Url: Betonmarkets.com & Betonmarkets.co.uk
Address:
Regent Markets (IOM) Limited
3rd Floor, 1-5 Church Street
Douglas, Isle of Man
IM1 2AG
Regent Markets is the world's leading fixed odds financial trading group.
Through its main multi-awarding winning websites, BetOnMarkets.com and
BetOnMarkets.co.uk, it has established itself as the leading global provider
of a unique, powerful way to trade the world's major financial markets. The
number, length and variety of trades available to our clients exists nowhere
else in the world.
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