The Era Of Disaster Recovery And Prevention...And What It Means To Investors
- Author Leon Altman
- Published October 26, 2005
- Word count 908
The recovery from Katrina and Rita ushers in a new era of
Disaster Recovery and Prevention. Governments and people are
rethinking their response to disasters and the steps they can
take to prevent or minimize the worst consequences. The biggest
catalyst for this new era is the political fall-out from
Katrina.
The slow response to Katrina was a black eye for the Bush
administration. For Michael Brown, the ex-head of FEMA, it was
a national humiliation. The fates of Louisiana governor
Kathleen Blanco and New Orleans mayor Ray Nagin remain to be
seen, but reports have pointed out their failures in prevention
and response, and that will come into play at election time.
President Bush wants to make up for the bungled response (and
restore some political capital)and has earmarked a recovery
effort that may total $200 billion dollars. The early response
to Katrina has become a cautionary tale for politicians and
bureaucrats in federal, state and local governments, and you
can be sure they will be pushing for more disaster prevention
spending in their own particular fiefdoms. And the media is
keeping watch—newspapers in California have been filled with
stories warning about the lack of disaster (especially
earthquake) preparation in the state.
The Army Corp of Engineers, burned by the lack of
follow-through on their recommendation to raise the New Orleans
levees, is now looking to repair vulnerable areas around the
country. And they’re not the only ones.
New homes have multiplied along vulnerable coastal areas. From
Florida to the Outer Banks up to The Hamptons and all
throughout the east coast, coastal property values have soared.
Dune Road, a sliver of land with pricey homes between the ocean
and a bay in Westhampton, New York, was virtually wiped out by
flooding little more than a decade ago. Now it has been rebuilt
with even pricier multi-million dollar homes. You can be sure
these homeowners will spend what it takes to protect their
properties.
And they may need to because it looks like big storms are
brewing. If many meterologists are correct, we may have entered
a cycle of increasing frequency and severity of hurricanes.
Combine the measures slated for homeland security, rebuilding
the Gulf coast and the ramp-up of disaster prevention around
the country and you have a near permanent state of disaster
recovery and prevention.
For some companies, let’s call them Hurricane stocks, the
opportunity to take part in the Gulf recovery means a great
deal of more business in the short term. For others, it may
mean more business for many years to come.
Hurricane stocks are companies that are needed right now. For
instance, the immediate need to help those whose homes have
been destroyed or are unhabitable. Think of companies that
provide temporary living and survival gear. Think of Coleman
camping products, such as tents, sleeping bags, portable
stoves, flashlights. Coleman is owned by Jarden (JAH:NYSE).
Manufactured homes have come a long way in the past decade, and
will prove to be a good temporary solution for many and a
permanent solution for others in the Gulf. Cavalier Homes
(AMEX:CAV) has been contracted to build and deliver
manufactured homes to the Federal Emergency Management Agency
to house Gulf Coast residents displaced by Hurricane Katrina.
The contract is expected to generate $58 million to $63 million
in revenue for the company.
Some other compnnies in this sector include Champion
(NYSE:CHB), which partners with nearly 3,000 independent
retailers, builders and developers, Fleetwood Enterprises
(NYSE: FLE) and Coachmen Industries Inc. (NYSE:COA).
Oil and gas facilites in the Gulf coast also need emergency
repair. The economy of the Gulf Coast and, to an extent, the
economy of the U.S. depends on it. A number of drilling rigs
were damaged in the storms, which means that a company like
ENSCO (NTSE:ESV) which owns drilling rigs in the area, will be
in big demand. Oceaneering International (NYSE: OII), which
inspects and repairs underwater infrastructure of oil
facilities, will be busy, as will Jacobs Engineering
(NYSE:JEC), providing engineering and construction services to
oil and gas companies.
Rebuilding the Gulf Coast
Rebuilding will include the big dogs in construction, like
Halliburton (NYSE:HAL), The Shaw Group(SGR) and Caterpillar
(NYSE:CAT). But many smaller companies will also take part,
often as subcontractors. The Army Corp of Engineers has
increased its task order from $10 million to $20 for Aduddell
Roofing, a subsidiary of Zenex International, Inc.
(OTCBB:ZENX). National Storm Management (NLST:PK), an expanding
national construction company specializing in storm restoration
management, will also do a good deal of restoration work in the
Gulf Coast.
To build you need building materials. Home retailers such as
Home Depot and Lowe’s will be seeing their orders increase, but
so will companies that provide raw materials like timber. Take a
look at Rayonier (NYSE:RYN)and Plum Creek Timber (NYSE:PCL), two
REITs that own and manage timber properties.
Some Hurricane and rebuilding stocks have already jumped and
retreated. But the point to remember is that while the
hurricanes resulted in an immediate need to help those in dire
need, they also ushered in a new era, an era when governments
and people in the U.S. and around the world know they can do
more to recover from disasters and minimize the consequences.
So keep an eye on companies that will be at the center of the
Disaster and Prevention theme for years to come.
Leon Altman founded
http://www.InvestingIN.com and http://www.SmallcapRecap.com,
two websites that offer news and commentary on stocks. Sign up
for free newsletters on the sites.
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